16.10.2025-Thursday, 08.40 am

Good Morning all... 

What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, opened on a positive note at 25181.95, on opening move, it made a day low 25159.35, thereafter it moved up till 25365.15 and closed on a positive note at 25323.55 with an intra gain 178.05 points, i.e., 0.71%.

What will happen today? 

Nifty Index: Today, we expect the Nifty may open on a positive note near 25350-25405 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 25405 then, the index may re-test 25450-25480-25505-25535-25570-25600 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 25330-25285 if, the Index moves below 25285 then, it may try to re-visit 25260-25235-25210-25175-25130-25105-25060 levels.

Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index opened on a positive note, on opening move, made a low 25159.35, thereafter, the intra pull back lifted the index till 25365.15 and closed justbelow 25330. Today, the Nifty index must trade, sustain and closes above 25350-25450; it may continue the pull back rally to re-test 25530-25645-25760 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the immediate support seen at 25195-25135-25060 further weakness below 25060 then, the Index may try to re-visit 25020-24915-24870 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today near 25350-25405 levels.

Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index opened on a positive note at 56528.95, on the opening move, it made a low 56491.85 thereafter it moved up, made a high 56922.70 and closed on a positive note at 56799.90 with an intra gain 303.45 points, i.e., 0.54%, today Nifty Bank Index must move and sustain above 56830-56920 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 57040-57135-57285-57445 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 56830-56920 further, it moves below 56700-56595 then, the Index may re-visit 56490-56435-56255-56075 levels. 

Sensex Index: Yesterday, Sensex opened on a positive note at 82197.25 on the opening move, it made a day low 82084.37 thereafter, it moved up made a high 82727.02 and closed on a positive note at 82605.43 with an intra gain 575.45 points, i.e., 0.70%, today Sensex must move and sustain above 82725-82890 levels; if to do so, then it may try to re-test 82980-83140-83270-83385 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 82085-82210 further, it moves below 82540-82470 then, the Index may re-visit 82405-82330-82235-82160-82085 levels.

PUT/CALL Ratio: Over all Nifty Index Put and Call ratio for 15th Oct'25 stands at 1.21 with PUT open interest of 3196177 and CALL open interest of 2636089, when compared with previous day level of 0.82, normally the reading below 1 denotes weakness/bearish, above 1 denotes strength/bullish on the index.

FIIs/FPIs & DIIs Funds Flow on NSE, BSE and MSEI : Yesterday, FIIs/FPIs, turned as a net buyer, they bought on the net basis to the tune of Rs.68.64 Cr. On the other hand, DIIs continued as a net buyer they bought on the net basis to the tune of Rs.4650.08 Cr.

For the month of Oct'25, month to date FIIs/FPIs continued as a net seller, they sold Rs.1893.03 Cr., on the net basis and DIIs continued as a net buyer they bought on the net basis to the tune of Rs.22441.64 Cr.

INDIA's Macro Data:-

On 01st Oct'25-Wednesday, the HSBC Manufacturing PMI data released for the month of Sep'25, it moved down to 57.70 from 59.30 i.e., Aug'25. Likewise, the HSBC Services PMI data for the month of Sep'25 released on 06th Oct'25-Monday, it moved up to 60.90 from 62.39 i.e., Aug'25.

The RBI MPC meet held on 01st Oct'25-Wednesday, the MPC has maintained the Repo rate as 5.50% from the existing rate of 5.50%, also it has maintained the CRR-Cash Reserve Ratio as 3%. 

GDP data for the Q1 ending Jun'25 released on 29th Aug'25-Friday, the GDP has moved up to 7.80% Vs.7.40% (Q4-Mar'25).

IIP data for Aug'25 released on 29th Sep'25-Monday, the Industrial production has come down to 4.00%; when compared to the Jul'25 level, i.e., 4.30%. 

Annual Inflation data for Sep'25 released on 13th Oct'25-Tuesday, the inflation has come down to 1.54% from Aug'25 level i.e., 2.07%.

WPI Inflation data for the month of Sep'25 released on 14th Oct'25-Tuesday, it has come down to 0.13%, as against the Aug'25 level i.e.,0.52%.

Unemployment Rate for the month of Sep'25 released on 15th Oct'25-Wednesday, the unemolyment rate has gone up to 5.20% as against the Aug'25 level i.e., 5.10% 

Wishing you for a safe, secured and profitable trading.

DISCLAIMER:

"Investment in securites market are subect to the market risk, and consult your investment adviser before investing". The writing in the above daily market update should be taken as an information based on the various data's provided by the respective authorities. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a NISM certified Research Analyst, I shall not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the above daily market update.