13.10.2025-Monday, 08.40 am

Good Morning all... 

What has happened on Friday? Nifty Index, opened on a negative note at 25167.65, on opening move, it made a day low 25156.85, thereafter it moved up till 25330.75 and closed on a positive note at 25285.35 with an intra gain 103.55 points, i.e., 0.41%.

What will happen today? 

Nifty Index: Today, we expect the Nifty may open on a negative note with gap down near 25260-25235-25170 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 25260 then, the index may re-test 25290-25330-25350-25380-25415-25450 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 25130-25085 if, the Index moves below 25085 then, it may try to re-visit 25045-25010-24960-24915-24870 levels.

Special Mention: On Friday, Nifty Index opened on a negative note, on opening move, made a low 25156.85, thereafter, the intra pull back lifted the index till 25330.75 and closed above 25220. Today, the Nifty index must trade, sustain and closes above 25265-25330; it may continue the pull back rally to re-test 25350-25450-25515 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the immediate support seen at 25110-25010 further weakness below 25010 then, the Index may try to re-visit 24960-24915-24870 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today near 25260-25235-25170 levels.

Nifty Bank Index: On Friday, Nifty Bank Index opened on a negative note at 56168.60, on the opening move, it made a low 56152.45 thereafter it moved up, made a high 56760.25 and closed on a positive note at 56609.75 with an intra gain 417.70 points, i.e., 0.74%, today Nifty Bank Index must move and sustain above 56680-56760 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 56845-56960-57055-57165 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 56680-56760 further, it moves below 56560-56560-56485 then, the Index may re-visit 56400-56290-56180-56045-55820 levels. 

Sensex Index: On Friday, Sensex opened on a negative note at 82075.45 on the opening move, it made a day low 82072.93 thereafter, it moved up made a high 82654.11 and closed on a positive note at 82500.82 with an intra gain 328.72 points, i.e., 0.40%, today Sensex must move and sustain above 82585-82655 levels; if to do so, then it may try to re-test 82800-82975-83140-83270-83385 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 82585-82655 further, it moves below 82440-82360 then, the Index may re-visit 82270-82120-82030-81925-81700-81555-81405 levels.

PUT/CALL Ratio: Over all Nifty Index Put and Call ratio for 10th Oct'25 stands at 1.32 with PUT open interest of 4230778 and CALL open interest of 3205741, when compared with previous day level of 1.06, normally the reading below 1 denotes weakness/bearish, above 1 denotes strength/bullish on the index.

FIIs/FPIs & DIIs Funds Flow on NSE, BSE and MSEI : On Friday, FIIs/FPIs, continued as a net buyer, they bought on the net basis to the tune of Rs.459.20 Cr. On the other hand, DIIs continued as a net buyer they bought on the net basis to the tune of Rs.1707.83 Cr.

For the month of Oct'25, month to date FIIs/FPIs continued as a net seller, they sold Rs.213.04 Cr., on the net basis and DIIs continued as a net buyer they bought on the net basis to the tune of Rs.11797.01 Cr.

INDIA's Macro Data:-

On 01st Oct'25-Wednesday, the HSBC Manufacturing PMI data released for the month of Sep'25, it moved down to 57.70 from 59.30 i.e., Aug'25. Likewise, the HSBC Services PMI data for the month of Sep'25 released on 06th Oct'25-Monday, it moved up to 60.90 from 62.39 i.e., Aug'25.

The RBI MPC meet held on 01st Oct'25-Wednesday, the MPC has maintained the Repo rate as 5.50% from the existing rate of 5.50%, also it has maintained the CRR-Cash Reserve Ratio as 3%. 

GDP data for the Q1 ending Jun'25 released on 29th Aug'25-Friday, the GDP has moved up to 7.80% Vs.7.40% (Q4-Mar'25).

IIP data for Aug'25 released on 29th Sep'25-Monday, the Industrial production has come down to 4.00%; when compared to the Jul'25 level, i.e., 4.30%. 

Annual Inflation data for Jul'25 released on 12th Aug'25-Tuesday, the inflation has come down to 1.55% from Jun'25 level i.e., 2.10%.

WPI Inflation data for the month of Aug'25 released on 15th Sep'25-Monday, it has come moved up to the postive level  i.e., 0.52%, as against the Jul'25 level i.e.,-0.58%.

Unemployment Rate for the month of Aug'25 released on 15th Sep'25-Monday, the unemolyment rate has come down to 5.10% as against the Jul'25 level i.e., 5.20% 

Wishing you for a safe, secured and profitable trading.

DISCLAIMER:

"Investment in securites market are subect to the market risk, and consult your investment adviser before investing". The writing in the above daily market update should be taken as an information based on the various data's provided by the respective authorities. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a NISM certified Research Analyst, I shall not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the above daily market update.